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Stiri Financiare-Credit Europe Bank (22.05.2007)
TREASURY DIVISION
CREDIT EUROPE DAILY
May 22, 2007


"Great men may die, but there ideas won't." - Kelly Nelson

FOREX MARKET
On Monday, the single currency was quoted at 3.2600 level at the opening of the domestic trading and climbed to intraday high at 3.2635 level in the first minutes of trading. However shortly after, the Romanian currency resumed its appreciation path rallying until 3.2550 zone where it seems to have found strong support. Later, RON lost some of its earlier gains, falling until 3.2600 zone, as the liquidity shortage had eased down towards the closing of the domestic trading.
On May 22nd, the Romanian forex market opened slightly higher at 3.2630 level, as the fall of the short term interest rates made the carry trades unprofitable. Therefore RON reversed its move to the upside until 3.2675 level till the moment of writing. We expect that the upward correction would continue in the next days, despite the favourable mood of investors towards the emerging markets, as RON looks rather overbought.

On Monday, the greenback broke the 1.3470 support zone, rallying until 1.3450 level. The US dollar benefited from solid economic data on US like consumer confidence, manufacturing, housing starts and jobless claims that prompted the dollar to a five-week high against the euro. In early European trading on Tuesday, the EUR/USD is bided in the 1.3450 zone. Today, the market will be watching Germany's ZEW survey of economic sentiment for May.

MONEY MARKET
On May 21st, the overnight maturities were traded in the 9/12% zone, however they gradually fell until 5/8% bids/asks in the second part of trading, as some liquidity had entered the Romanian market. On Tuesday, the overnight interest rates tumbled until 1/3% zone, as commercial banks started to price in RON 2bln which are to mature tomorrow from a onemonth deposit at NBR.

Domestic Markets Foreign Exchange Rates

 

NBR

Daily Change

Year to Date (%)

Annualized

EUR/RON

3.2580

-0.0128

-3.66%

-2.65%

USD/RON

2.4162

-0.0084

-5.90%

-4.28%

GBP/RON

4.7604

-0.0229

-6.03%

-4.38%

CHF/RON

1.9656

-0.0114

-6.98%

-5.08%


Interbank Market Interest Rates (%)

 

ON

1M

6M

12M

BUBID

1.13%

6.81%

6.78%

6.50%

BUBOR

3.94%

7.89%

8.09%

8.00%

LIBOR(EUR)

3.84%

3.94%

4.21%

4.40%

LIBOR(USD)

5.30%

5.32%

5.38%

5.37%


Romanian Equities

 

Last

Daily (%)

BET

8,461.02

-0.35%

BET-C

5,815.62

-0.48%

BET-FI

71,387.32

0.57%

RASDAQ C

4,025.96

0.90%


Romanian Eurobonds

Maturity

Cupon

Price

Daily (%)

Yield

27-Jun-08

10.63%

106.27

-0.01%

4.58

02-Jul-10

5.75%

103.49

-0.02%

4.52

06-May-12

6.50%

117.10

0.04%

4.56

22-Jun-15

4.125%

94.30

0.29%

5.00


Romanian State Government Bonds and T-Bills

Latest issues

Auction Date

Issue Date

Maturity Date

Avg. Yield

RO0510DBNI36

08 August 2005

10 August 2005

10 August 2010

7.48%

RO0515DBN143

15 August 2005

17 August 2005

17 August 2015

7.49%

RO0508DBN155

15 September 2005

19 September 2005

19 September 2008

7.60%


International Equities

 

Last

Daily Change

Year Low

Year High

S&P 500

1,318.03

0.15%

1,349.58

1,514.14

DJI

13,542.88

-0.10%

13,476.72

13,556.53

NASDAQ

2,578.79

0.80%

2,459.31

2,576.34

XETRA DAX

7,619.31

0.15%

7,408.87

7,607.54

NIKKEI 225

17,680.05

0.70%

15,725.94

18,215.35


International Market Exchange Rates

CURRENCY

Latest

Daily Change

EUR/USD

1.3445

-0.50%

GBP/USD

1.9721

-0.07%

USD/CHF

1.2298

0.16%

USD/SEK

6.8453

0.42%

USD/JPY

121.46

0.16%


EUR/USD trading rate

Support

 

Resistance

 

Sup. 1

1.3450

Res. 1

1.3480

Sup. 2

1.3430

Res. 2

1.3500

Sup. 3

1.3400

Res. 3

1.3530

Sup. 4

1.3370

Res. 4

1.3570


Commodities

 

Latest

Daily (%)

GOLD

662

0.11%

SILVER

13.01

0.62%

OIL (BRENT)

70.2

0.36%


Interest Rates for Time Deposits of Finansbank (Romania) SA

 

1WK

1M

3M

6M

9M

12M

Minimum Amount

USD

0.50%

4.25%

4.50%

4.75%

5.00%

5.50%

USD 1,000

EUR

0.50%

3.75%

4.00%

4.25%

4.25%

4.75%

EUR 1,000

RON

3.00%

7.25%

7.25%

7.50%

7.50%

7.75%

RON 2,000



Released by Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A.,3rd Nerva Traian Street, Bucharest. For further information please contact Melania Hancila -Treasury & Capital Markets Division, Phone 308 52 66, Fax 318 87 74.
Disclaimer: This report does not represent an investment advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any kind of investment vehicle. The information in the report is based on sources available to the public and believed to be reliable, and there is no claim that is accurate or complete. Thereafter this information can be changed without notice.
Publicat de Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A., Nerva Traian nr.3, Bucuresti. Pentru mai multe informatitii si intrebari, va rugam contactati Departamentul Trezorerie si Piete de capital - Melania Hancila, Telefon: 308 52 66, Fax: 318 87 74.
Acest buletin are scop informativ si nu reprezintaun sfat sau recomandare de a investi in nici un tip de instrument. Informatiile care stau la baza acestui raport zilnic au o sursa publica, considerata sigura insa, nu sustinem ca este completa. Astfel ca informatiile publicate mai sus se pot schimba fara un anunt prealabil.
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