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Stiri Financiare-Credit Europe Bank (14.03.2007)
TREASURY DIVISION
CREDIT EUROPE DAILY
March 14, 2007


"Materialism is buying things we don't need, with money we don't have, to impress people who don't matter. " - anonymous

FOREX MARKET
The greenback continued to decline against the euro, on back of worsening concerns about the US mortgage market after major US subprime lenders had gone bankrupt due to increasing defaults. Also, yesterday's US Retail Sales numbers for February came out unexpectedly weak and fueled expectations that the American economy might be slowing down in the next quarters. Therefore, the EUR/USD rallied up to 1.3220 resistance zone on Tuesday. In mid- European trading on March 14th, the pair is traded in the 1.3200 zone, as investors are waiting for the US mortgage data to decide whether shorting their USD positions.
On March 13th, the Romanian forex market opened flat at 3.3670 level, but gradually the pair underwent an upside move until 3.3750 zone, driven by the dovish regional mood of investors which seem reluctant to risk lately. However, the single currency could not keep the gains, and turned back to 3.3700 zone, where it closed the session.
On Wednesday, important buying orders had driven the opening bids higher by 150 pips as compared to closing levels, respectively to 3.3850 area. However within a couple of minutes, the sellers made their appearance taking advantage of the high exchange rates and pushed the pair down to 3.3750 area by noontime. We expect that the EUR/RON would consolidate in the 3.3800 zone in the second part of the trading, moving in either way no more than 50 pips.

MONEY MARKET
The overnight deposits are traded for 7.7/8.5% bids/asks, as the liquidity on the interbank market remains rather low in the second half of the mandatory reserve period. Yesterday, the Minister of Finance intended to drain liquidity from the market for one-week period. MF canceled the auction, probably because the bids of the banks exceeded their expectation, but announced another 1W deposit auction today.

Domestic Markets Foreign Exchange Rates

 

NBR

Daily Change

Year to (%)

Annualized

EUR/RON

3.3733

0.0056

-0.25%

-0.21%

USD/RON

2.5611

0.0051

-0.25%

-0.21%

GBP/RON

4.9397

-0.0252

-2.49%

-2.08%

CHF/RON

2.0913

0.0098

-1.03%

-0.86%


Interbank Market Interest Rates (%)

 

ON

1M

6M

12M

BUBID

7.69%

7.40%

6.50%

6.41%

BUBOR

8.53%

8.26%

7.94%

7.88%

LIBOR(EUR)

3.30%

3.86%

4.00%

4.11%

LIBOR(USD)

5.30%

5.32%

5.33%

5.22%


Romanian Equities

 

Last

Daily (%)

BET

8,422.89

-1.87%

BET-C

5,422.20

-1.71%

BET-FI

55,149.54

-5.05%

RASDAQ C

2,952.59

0.81%


Romanian Eurobonds

Maturity

Cupon

Price

Daily (%)

Yield

27-Jun-08

10.63%

107.65

0.04%

4.29

02-Jul-10

5.75%

104.52

0.31%

4.24

06-May-12

6.50%

119.33

0.17%

4.23

22-Jun-15

4.125%

96.56

0.38%

4.63


Romanian State Government Bonds and T-Bills

Latest issues

Auction Date

Issue Date

Maturity Date

Avg. Yield

RO0510DBNI36

08 August 2005

10 August 2005

10 August 2010

7.48%

RO0515DBN143

15 August 2005

17 August 2005

17 August 2015

7.49%

RO0508DBN155

15 September 2005

19 September 2005

19 September 2008

7.60%


International Equities

 

Last

Daily Change

Year Low

Year High

S&P 500

1,318.03

-2.04%

1,263.20

1,459.68

DJI

12,075.96

-1.97%

12,260.70

12,318.62

NASDAQ

2,350.57

-2.15%

2,340.68

2,524.94

XETRA DAX

6,623.99

-1.36%

6,494.30

7,027.59

NIKKEI 225

16,676.89

-2.92%

14,884.07

18,215.35


International Market Exchange Rates

CURRENCY

Latest

Daily Change

EUR/USD

1.3195

0.19%

GBP/USD

1.9227

-0.32%

USD/CHF

1.2157

-0.70%

USD/SEK

7.0386

-0.22%

USD/JPY

116.02

-1.12%


EUR/USD trading rate

Support

 

Resistance

 

Sup. 1

1.3180

Res. 1

1.3220

Sup. 2

1.3150

Res. 2

1.3240

Sup. 3

1.3070

Res. 3

1.3260

Sup. 4

1.3020

Res. 4

1.3300


Commodities

 

Latest

Daily (%)

GOLD

641.9

-1.26%

SILVER

12.63

-2.55%

OIL (BRENT)

61.17

1.54%


Interest Rates for Time Deposits of Credit Europe Bank (Romania) SA

 

1WK

1M

3M

6M

9M

12M

Minimum Amount

USD

0.50%

4.25%

4.50%

4.75%

5.00%

5.50%

USD 1,000

EUR

0.50%

3.75%

4.00%

4.25%

4.25%

4.75%

EUR 1,000

RON

3.00%

7.25%

7.25%

7.50%

7.50%

7.75%

RON 2,000



Released by Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A.,3rd Nerva Traian Street, Bucharest. For further information please contact Melania Hancila -Treasury & Capital Markets Division, Phone 308 52 66, Fax 318 87 74.
Disclaimer: This report does not represent an investment advice and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in any kind of investment vehicle. The information in the report is based on sources available to the public and believed to be reliable, and there is no claim that is accurate or complete. Thereafter this information can be changed without notice.
Publicat de Credit Europe Bank Romania S.A., Nerva Traian nr.3, Bucuresti. Pentru mai multe informatitii si intrebari, va rugam contactati Departamentul Trezorerie si Piete de capital - Melania Hancila, Telefon: 308 52 66, Fax: 318 87 74.
Acest buletin are scop informativ si nu reprezintaun sfat sau recomandare de a investi in nici un tip de instrument. Informatiile care stau la baza acestui raport zilnic au o sursa publica, considerata sigura insa, nu sustinem ca este completa. Astfel ca informatiile publicate mai sus se pot schimba fara un anunt prealabil.
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